منابع مشابه
Wind Speed for Load Forecasting Models
Temperature and its variants, such as polynomials and lags, have been the most frequently-used weather variables in load forecasting models. Some of the well-known secondary driving factors of electricity demand include wind speed and cloud cover. Due to the increasing penetration of distributed energy resources, the net load is more and more affected by these non-temperature weather factors. T...
متن کاملComparison of Models for Wind Speed Forecasting
In this paper an ARIMA model is used for time-series forecast involving wind speed measurements. Results are compared with the performance of a back propagation type NNT. Results show that ARIMA model is better than NNT for short time-intervals to forecast (10 minutes, 1 hour, 2 hours and 4 hours). Data was acquired from a unit located in Southern Andalusia (Peñaflor, Sevilla), with a soft orog...
متن کاملEvaluation of Optimal Fuzzy Membership Function for Wind Speed Forecasting
In this paper, a new approach is proposed in order to select an optimal membership function for inputs of wind speed prediction system. Then using a fuzzy method and the stochastic characteristics of wind speed in the previous year, the wind speed modeling is performed and the wind speed for the future year will be predicted. In this proposed method, the average and the standard deviation of in...
متن کاملevaluation of optimal fuzzy membership function for wind speed forecasting
in this paper, a new approach is proposed in order to select an optimal membership function for inputs of wind speed prediction system. then using a fuzzy method and the stochastic characteristics of wind speed in the previous year, the wind speed modeling is performed and the wind speed for the future year will be predicted. in this proposed method, the average and the standard deviation of in...
متن کاملWind Power and Electric Load Forecasting
As renewable energy increasingly integrates into the electric power system, electric load forecasting and renewable energy power generation forecasting become more important. In this project, ARIMA and NARX are applied to build load forecasting model focusing on improving statistical and computational efficiency without losing accuracy. ARIMA turns out to be better for short term forecasting wh...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Sustainability
سال: 2017
ISSN: 2071-1050
DOI: 10.3390/su9050795